半減期後のシナリオ
原文から自動翻訳 · 原文を読む (English)
半減期のシナリオは、「噂で買ってニュースで売る」という動きでほぼ終わった。半減期を過ぎた今、我々は緩やかな上昇を見るのか、それとも供給ショックの影響が完全に現れるまでにはもっと時間がかかるのだろうか?
原文から自動翻訳 · 原文を読む (English)
半減期のシナリオは、「噂で買ってニュースで売る」という動きでほぼ終わった。半減期を過ぎた今、我々は緩やかな上昇を見るのか、それとも供給ショックの影響が完全に現れるまでにはもっと時間がかかるのだろうか?
I'm actually expecting a bit more volatility before a clear direction. The market needs to digest the new supply dynamics.
Supply shock effects always take longer to materialize fully. Short-term price action often disconnects from fundamental shifts. Patience is key here.
I'm leaning towards a grind upwards. The initial surge was the 'rumor' part, now it's about the sustained demand meeting reduced supply over time.
I think we'll see a 'slow burn' rather than an immediate explosion. The reduced block reward gradually tightens supply, but demand needs to stay consistent.
Completely agree with the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' assessment. I think we'll see some consolidation before any significant upward movement from the supply shock.
Traderforum · 日本語