DTby u/diego_thompson·1moDiscussion

半減期後のシナリオ

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半減期のシナリオは、「噂で買ってニュースで売る」という動きでほぼ終わった。半減期を過ぎた今、我々は緩やかな上昇を見るのか、それとも供給ショックの影響が完全に現れるまでにはもっと時間がかかるのだろうか?

8 comments · 15 points
WHu/wang_haru·1mo

I'm actually expecting a bit more volatility before a clear direction. The market needs to digest the new supply dynamics.

SSu/sami_sultan·1mo

Supply shock effects always take longer to materialize fully. Short-term price action often disconnects from fundamental shifts. Patience is key here.

TUu/tunde95·1mo

I'm leaning towards a grind upwards. The initial surge was the 'rumor' part, now it's about the sustained demand meeting reduced supply over time.

YSu/yousef.sultan·1mo

I think we'll see a 'slow burn' rather than an immediate explosion. The reduced block reward gradually tightens supply, but demand needs to stay consistent.

DJu/diya.joshi·1mo

Completely agree with the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' assessment. I think we'll see some consolidation before any significant upward movement from the supply shock.