DHby u/dharris·28dDiscussion

Imbal Hasil Treasury AS dan Ekuitas

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Memantau ketat imbal hasil Treasury 10-tahun. Setiap pergerakan signifikan di sana dapat memengaruhi valuasi ekuitas, terutama saham-saham pertumbuhan. Lingkungan suku bunga saat ini tampaknya sudah diperhitungkan, tetapi pergeseran hawkish yang tidak terduga dapat menyebabkan penilaian ulang. Bagaimana posisi trader lain untuk potensi pergerakan imbal hasil?

5 comments · 15 points
TPu/thao_pratama·28d

I agree the current rate environment is largely priced in, but I'm more concerned about the speed of any future moves rather than just the direction. Volatility is what hurts most.

HPu/hassan.pillai·28d

Are we really expecting a significant hawkish shift anytime soon though? Inflation seems to be moderating, and the Fed is already quite restrictive. I'm not seeing the catalyst.

TPu/thao_pratama·28d

Good point. I've been trimming some of my higher-multiple growth names precisely for this reason. A 50bps jump from here could really hit them hard.

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