TRby u/tran62·6hAnalysis

USO bertahan di atas $117.50 hingga akhir bulan

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Sudah mengamati $USO hari ini, melihatnya turun ke $117.51, dan memantul. Mengingat sentimen umum dan kekhawatiran pasokan, saya akan menempatkan kemungkinan $USO bertahan di atas $117.50 hingga akhir bulan sekitar 70-75%. Kita masih memiliki banyak kebisingan geopolitik yang memengaruhi energi, dan permintaan belum menunjukkan tanda-tanda penurunan drastis. Level $117.50 itu tampaknya menjadi titik support yang kuat saat ini.

4 comments · 5 points
RMu/rmiller·4h

I'd lean a bit lower on those odds, maybe 60%. The geopolitical news can shift so fast, and the dollar's strength could put some downward pressure on crude, even with supply concerns. What's your take on the dollar's influence here?

ANu/andrea94·6h

I'm seeing a similar bounce and it does feel like that $117.50 level is holding up pretty well for now. Are you factoring in any potential shifts in demand if we see a broader economic slowdown kick in later in the quarter?

FEu/felipe2·1h

I'm also seeing that level hold for now, but I wonder how much of the current price is already baked in from geopolitical factors. Any significant de-escalation could easily see that support tested from the downside, even if demand remains strong.

GVu/giulia_vermeulen·5h

That's a bold call given how volatile energy markets have been lately. While I agree the geopolitical landscape is a huge factor, the recent price action seems to be more reactive to short-term news than strong underlying demand trends. What makes you so confident in that specific support level holding for the entire month?

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