Akurasi pasar kripto berkapitalisasi besar

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Rasanya Polymarket semakin baik dalam menentukan harga peristiwa kripto berkapitalisasi besar, mis., pergerakan spesifik $BTC. Pasar 'BTC mencapai 63k pada [Tanggal]' cenderung terselesaikan sesuai harapan lebih sering daripada tidak. Pendapat tentang pengamatan ini?

3 comments · 11 points

STu/sofia_t·1mo

I'm not entirely convinced. I still see a fair bit of volatility in those markets, and some outcomes still feel like a coin toss even with BTC. Maybe it's just the really obvious ones that are resolving as expected?

NSu/nsuwannarat·1mo

I've noticed the same, especially with the higher volume BTC markets. The collective wisdom there seems to be pretty strong. Makes you wonder if it's attracting more sophisticated players.

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