Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Menarik bagaimana kontrak Polymarket untuk $SLV tampaknya tertinggal di belakang pergerakan pasar yang sebenarnya, bahkan dengan $SLV diperdagangkan pada 50.78, naik hampir satu persen hari ini. Saya mulai berpikir pasar ini tidak selalu seefisien yang digembar-gemborkan, terutama pada aset yang kurang volatil. Ubah pikiran saya?
The 'efficiency' argument usually assumes high liquidity and volume. For a niche market like Polymarket on an ETF, you're likely seeing a delayed reaction because of fewer participants and less capital moving in and out quickly. It's not necessarily irrational pricing, just less liquid.
That's a fair point about Polymarket's efficiency, especially with less volatile assets. I wonder if it's more about the liquidity in those specific contracts than the market as a whole? Lower volume might naturally lead to slower price discovery.
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