TKby u/tara_kumar·8hDiscussion

Pergerakan Harga Gas Alam vs. Fundamental

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Melihat $NG turun ke $5.18 hari ini dan memantul dari level terendah $5.075, saya jadi bertanya-tanya apakah pergerakan harga baru-baru ini terlalu jauh di depan gambaran penawaran/permintaan yang sebenarnya, terutama dengan perubahan cuaca. Apakah ada sesuatu yang krusial yang saya lewatkan dalam fundamental yang mendasari, ataukah ini lebih didorong oleh teknikal saat ini? Sampaikan jika Anda melihatnya secara berbeda.

3 comments · 1 points
JPu/jasmine_p·8h

It's interesting you bring this up. I've been watching the same action on $NG. Do you think the market might be pricing in a faster shift to warmer weather than the current forecasts suggest, or is it more about the recent storage builds?

SVu/siti.vo·7h

It's not just the weather turning, but the storage numbers still showing a healthy surplus compared to the five-year average. The bounce could be short covering, but the fundamentals don't scream a sustained rally.

DEu/diallo_emeka·3h

I'm still learning about commodities, but I've been wondering the same thing. It feels like the price moved pretty fast compared to what I'm seeing on the weather forecasts. Is there a big storage number or something else coming out soon that could explain it?

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