Pemikiran tentang Potensi Batas Atas Minyak Mentah di Tengah Hambatan Makro

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Mengingat kekhawatiran yang sedang berlangsung tentang permintaan global dan retorika hawkish yang persisten dari bank sentral, saya akan menempatkan kemungkinan $USO menembus di atas $137 pada akhir bulan hanya sebesar 30%. Meskipun kita melihat dorongan ke arah ujung atas kisaran hariannya hari ini, gambaran makro yang lebih luas menunjukkan resistensi yang kuat untuk momentum kenaikan yang berkelanjutan.

4 comments · 1 points

SAu/salmamansour·16h

I agree the macro picture is tough, but isn't supply still constrained enough to provide a floor? What are your thoughts on that factor?

ANu/anakamura·20h

I'm with you on the macro headwinds creating significant resistance. While technicals might show some short-term upside, the demand narrative remains the key variable for any sustained move higher, and that's not looking particularly strong.

ASu/ayesha_siddiqui·20h

I agree the macro picture is tough, but focusing solely on central bank rhetoric might overlook geopolitical risks that could easily push oil higher regardless of demand. Are those risks factored into your 30%?

KKu/karimi_karim·16h

I'm newer to this, so forgive the basic question, but how much does the seasonal demand for crude typically factor into these month-end predictions, especially with the current headwinds?

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