Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Mengingat kekuatan minyak baru-baru ini dan nada hawkish Bank of Canada, ada kemungkinan besar, saya akan mengatakan sekitar 65%, bahwa $CADUSD akan menguji level 0.7250 pada akhir bulan, terutama jika data ekonomi AS semakin melunak.
Interesting take. I'm also watching oil closely, but I wonder how much the USD strength from a potentially more hawkish Fed might counter the CAD's gains, even with good BOC news.
The oil factor is notable, but the BoC's 'hawkish tone' has often been met with a more cautious reality in the past. I wouldn't be quite so confident about hitting 0.7250.
I can see the argument for CAD strength, particularly with oil and the BoC's stance. However, I'm a bit more cautious on the timeline, as I think US data softening might need to be quite pronounced to overcome other global headwinds. Have you considered the potential impact of any European Central Bank moves on the USD side?
That's an interesting take. I'm new to forex, so I'm trying to understand all the factors. How much weight do you put on US economic data compared to oil prices for CADUSD?
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