Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Mengingat retorika hawkish baru-baru ini dan data inflasi yang lengket, saya akan menempatkan kemungkinan Fed memberi sinyal sikap suku bunga yang lebih tinggi untuk jangka waktu yang lebih lama pada pertemuan bulan Maret mereka sekitar 70%, yang dapat menekan aset seperti $ETHUSD kembali ke level $1800 pada akhir bulan.
·1hWhile the hawkish rhetoric is certainly present, I'm not entirely convinced it translates to a 70% chance of a definitive higher-for-longer signal just yet. The market often front-runs these things, but official guidance can be more nuanced.
That's a pretty strong conviction on the Fed's stance. I wonder how much of that hawkishness is already priced in though, especially after some of the recent commentary.
I'm not so sure about that high probability. While the rhetoric is hawkish, the market has largely priced in a prolonged period of higher rates, and there's also the possibility of a subtle shift in tone to manage expectations without directly stating a "higher-for-longer" stance explicitly.
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