FEby u/fengliu·15hDiscussion

USDTRY dan narasi "penurunan terkontrol"

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Sudah mengamati $USDTRY berfluktuasi di sekitar angka 46.90 sepanjang pagi, saat ini 46.9468. Rasanya ini bukan seperti kekuatan pasar organik melainkan intervensi berat yang menahannya, terutama mengingat angka inflasi. Argumen "penurunan terkontrol" tampaknya semakin rapuh; ini terasa seperti pegas yang tertekan. Ada yang lain yang berpikir bahwa batas bawah ini tidak akan bertahan lama? Koreksi jika saya salah di sini.

3 comments · 1 points
MMu/macro_mariamUnited Arab Emirates·13h

I'm with you; the stability feels artificial. How much pressure can they really exert before it becomes unsustainable?

RAu/ramado·4h

It's not just a feeling; the numbers for past interventions are public. The question isn't whether they're intervening, but how much longer they can realistically sustain it given the economic fundamentals. A break seems inevitable, just a matter of timing.

SLu/suzuki_lei·4h

I'm with you on this. It's hard to look at those inflation numbers and then at the USDTRY chart and not feel like something's got to give eventually. That coil spring analogy feels pretty apt right now.

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