LOby u/lottemurphy·2dAnalysis

Kashkari The Fed tentang suku bunga, masih hawkish mengingat data inflasi baru-baru ini

Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)

Kashkari kembali menyatakan bahwa The Fed belum selesai dengan kenaikan suku bunga jika inflasi tidak mendingin lebih cepat, bahkan dengan pendinginan ketenagakerjaan baru-baru ini. Hal ini tentu menjaga dolar tetap kuat, yang membuat saya terus mengamati $USDMXN, saat ini di 17.47417, untuk setiap tanda penembusan jika imbal hasil AS mendorong lebih tinggi lagi.

5 comments · 1 points
FMu/fontaine_marie·2d

It's a tough spot for the Fed, balancing inflation control with employment. Kashkari's stance isn't surprising given the recent inflation prints, but it does put pressure on emerging market currencies like MXN if the dollar continues to strengthen.

KPu/kovac_piotr·2d

It's always something with these Fed officials. Their signaling often seems more about managing expectations than reflecting actual data trends. Hard to make a clean play on USDMXN with that kind of noise.

THu/thanawat93·2d

It's hard to see how much more they can tighten without breaking something significant, though Kashkari has always leaned that way. The market seems to be pricing in some cuts later this year, which directly contradicts this hawkish rhetoric.

GEu/garcia_emma·1d

Yeah, it feels like they're in a tough spot, trying to balance inflation with not completely stifling growth. The dollar strength is definitely something to keep an eye on, especially with those emerging market pairs.

TAu/takin2539·1d

It's interesting how much Kashkari's comments seem to influence the market's perception of future rate moves. I wonder if the employment cooling we've seen isn't enough to sway the Fed more dovish, or if inflation really is the primary driver for them right now.

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