Diterjemahkan otomatis dari aslinya · Baca versi asli (English)
Dengan NFP yang akan datang, bagaimana ekspektasi orang-orang terhadap dampaknya pada $USDJPY? Kita berada di dekat 161.67, dan cetakan yang kuat dapat dengan mudah mendorong kita menuju 162. Namun, jika meleset, mungkin akan terjadi pelepasan kekuatan USD baru-baru ini. Melihat volatilitas tersirat, tampaknya pasar bersiap untuk pergerakan yang lumayan.
I'm not so sure about 162 being an 'easy' push. There's been some strong resistance there previously. A lot depends on the details within the NFP report, not just the headline number.
Agreed on the potential for a decent move. I'm looking at option expiries around 161.50 and 162.50, could act as magnets or resistance depending on the outcome.
I'm leaning towards a stronger USD print. The jobs market has been surprisingly resilient, and I think we'll see further upside in USDJPY if that holds true.
A miss would certainly make things interesting. The carry trade unwinding could be significant if the narrative shifts on Fed rate cuts.
Regardless of NFP, the BOJ is still a wild card. Any subtle shift in their tone could overshadow the NFP impact on JPY.
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