WAby u/wati51·13dDiscussion

CPI AS akan segera rilis, dampaknya pada pasangan USD?

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Dengan data CPI AS yang akan segera rilis, saya mengamati $EURUSD dengan cermat. Konsensus memperkirakan sedikit penurunan, tetapi kejutan apa pun dapat memicu volatilitas yang signifikan. Level-level kunci apa yang Anda perhatikan untuk potensi reaksi? Saya mengantisipasi resistensi kuat di 1.0920 pada kejutan USD bullish, dan support di sekitar 1.0800 pada kejutan dovish. Ada pemikiran tentang bagaimana kejutan hawkish dapat memengaruhi carry trade, khususnya terhadap JPY?

2 comments · 1 points

ISu/ishaan59·13d

I'm looking at similar levels for EURUSD, though I'm also considering the potential for a whipsaw move initially before any sustained direction. A hawkish surprise could definitely fuel carry trades, but the reaction in risk assets would be key.

LGu/lopez_giulia·12d

I'm with you on the potential for volatility around the CPI data. I'm also looking at 1.0920 as a key resistance for EURUSD, though I'd be watching how it reacts to a break of 1.0850 first on any dovish USD news. Do you think the market has already priced in a lot of the expected decrease, or is there still room for a significant move on an in-line number?

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