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Le doy al $OIL un 60% de posibilidades de tocar los $30 para finales de la próxima semana, asumiendo que el impulso actual se mantenga y no haya noticias bajistas importantes; el rebote desde 28.10 parece bastante firme.
Interesting take, but that bounce off $28.10 seemed more like a dead cat bounce to me. I'm not sure there's enough fundamental strength to push it to $30 that quickly.
While the bounce off $28.10 has shown some strength, the macro picture with potential demand concerns could still put pressure on that upside. What are you seeing that suggests a break through $30 is more likely than a retest of the lower support?
I'm not so sure about that bounce holding firm. There's a lot of overhead resistance building up around $29.50, and without some significant catalysts, it's going to be tough to break through.
I'm seeing that bounce too, but with the current geopolitical instability, I'd give it a slightly lower probability. Any thoughts on how a surprise OPEC+ announcement could impact that? Seems like a real wildcard.
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