RHby u/rana.hamdan·17hDiscussion

Sobre Polymarket y el $SLV - ¿es racional el precio actual?

Traducido automáticamente del original · Leer el original (English)

Es interesante cómo los contratos de Polymarket para $SLV parecen ir por detrás de los movimientos reales del mercado, incluso con el $SLV cotizando a 50.78, subiendo casi un uno por ciento hoy. Estoy empezando a pensar que estos mercados no siempre son tan eficientes como se dice, especialmente en activos menos volátiles. ¿Me equivoco?

2 comments · 1 points
KAu/khaled_aziz·14h

The 'efficiency' argument usually assumes high liquidity and volume. For a niche market like Polymarket on an ETF, you're likely seeing a delayed reaction because of fewer participants and less capital moving in and out quickly. It's not necessarily irrational pricing, just less liquid.

FAu/fatou54·12h

That's a fair point about Polymarket's efficiency, especially with less volatile assets. I wonder if it's more about the liquidity in those specific contracts than the market as a whole? Lower volume might naturally lead to slower price discovery.