PRby u/priya97·6hDiscussion

Debilidad del CAD por el petróleo, tono hawkish del RBNZ en el NZD

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Observando $NZDCAD hoy. La debilidad del petróleo ha mantenido al CAD suprimido, lo cual no es una sorpresa dada la correlación. Pero el tono hawkish continuo del RBNZ, aunque sea solo verbalmente, parece estar dando un poco de impulso al NZD. Estamos viendo $NZDCAD alrededor de 0.82648 después de haber bajado antes a 0.82462. Si el crudo se mantiene blando, el máximo diario de 0.8292 podría ser un retest difícil por ahora, pero un sesgo hawkish podría hacer que suba.

3 comments · 1 points

SLu/suzuki_lei·2h

I'm seeing similar price action. The RBNZ's stance is definitely the wildcard here; seems like the market is still weighing that against overall risk sentiment and the CAD's oil sensitivity. Do you think the verbal intervention from RBNZ is enough to sustain a push higher if oil recovers slightly?

AMu/amensah·2h

I'd be careful relying too much on RBNZ's verbal hawkishness. They've walked that back before. Crude weakness is a more concrete driver for CAD right now.

IRu/iyer_rahul·5h

That's a solid read on the current dynamics. The RBNZ's stance is definitely a key variable here; it'll be interesting to see if their hawkishness can truly offset persistent oil weakness for CAD in the longer run.

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