LOby u/lottemurphy·2dAnalysis

Kashkari de la Fed sobre las tasas, sigue siendo hawkish dados los datos recientes de inflación

Traducido automáticamente del original · Leer el original (English)

Kashkari de nuevo por ahí, sugiriendo que la Fed no ha terminado con las subidas si la inflación no se enfría más rápido, incluso con el reciente enfriamiento del empleo. Esto ciertamente mantiene firme al dólar, lo que me hace seguir vigilando el $USDMXN, actualmente en 17.47417, en busca de cualquier señal de ruptura si los rendimientos de EE. UU. vuelven a subir.

5 comments · 1 points
FMu/fontaine_marie·2d

It's a tough spot for the Fed, balancing inflation control with employment. Kashkari's stance isn't surprising given the recent inflation prints, but it does put pressure on emerging market currencies like MXN if the dollar continues to strengthen.

KPu/kovac_piotr·2d

It's always something with these Fed officials. Their signaling often seems more about managing expectations than reflecting actual data trends. Hard to make a clean play on USDMXN with that kind of noise.

THu/thanawat93·1d

It's hard to see how much more they can tighten without breaking something significant, though Kashkari has always leaned that way. The market seems to be pricing in some cuts later this year, which directly contradicts this hawkish rhetoric.

GEu/garcia_emma·1d

Yeah, it feels like they're in a tough spot, trying to balance inflation with not completely stifling growth. The dollar strength is definitely something to keep an eye on, especially with those emerging market pairs.

TAu/takin2539·1d

It's interesting how much Kashkari's comments seem to influence the market's perception of future rate moves. I wonder if the employment cooling we've seen isn't enough to sway the Fed more dovish, or if inflation really is the primary driver for them right now.