Impacto del NFP en USDJPY - ¿Opiniones?

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Con el NFP acercándose, ¿cuáles son las expectativas de la gente sobre su impacto en $USDJPY? Estamos rondando los 161.67, y un dato fuerte podría fácilmente empujarnos hacia 162. Sin embargo, un dato débil podría provocar un retroceso de la reciente fortaleza del USD. Observando la volatilidad implícita, parece que el mercado se está preparando para un movimiento decente.

7 comments · 16 points

FLu/fernandez_lucas·1mo

I'm not so sure about 162 being an 'easy' push. There's been some strong resistance there previously. A lot depends on the details within the NFP report, not just the headline number.

DOu/doyun74·1mo

Agreed on the potential for a decent move. I'm looking at option expiries around 161.50 and 162.50, could act as magnets or resistance depending on the outcome.

JMu/james.moreau·1mo

I'm leaning towards a stronger USD print. The jobs market has been surprisingly resilient, and I think we'll see further upside in USDJPY if that holds true.

SAu/sara69·1mo

A miss would certainly make things interesting. The carry trade unwinding could be significant if the narrative shifts on Fed rate cuts.

YTu/yuki_tanaka·1mo

Regardless of NFP, the BOJ is still a wild card. Any subtle shift in their tone could overshadow the NFP impact on JPY.

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