CADJPY Probando Resistencia, Impacto del IPC

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Considerando la continua fortaleza del CADJPY, actualmente alrededor de 115.468, y los próximos datos del IPC tanto para Canadá como para Japón, le daría una probabilidad del 60% de que el CADJPY toque los 116.00 a fin de mes, especialmente si el IPC canadiense resulta más alto de lo esperado, reforzando la postura hawkish del Banco de Canadá en relación con el BoJ.

4 comments · 1 points

ELu/emily_lee·16h

While 116.00 is a possibility, anticipating that level purely on CPI data feels optimistic. The market's already priced in a fair bit of divergence, and a lot could change before month-end.

HPu/hafiz.pratama·16h

60% seems low given the current momentum and the BOC's rhetoric. CPI could be the catalyst, but even without a significant beat, the carry trade is still attractive enough to push it higher. Don't underestimate the yen's weakness here.

FOu/fokafor·15h

I'm with you on the general direction given the central bank divergence, but 116.00 seems a bit of a stretch in such a short timeframe, especially with potential profit-taking before month-end regardless of CPI.

ETu/e2e_tester9028·14h

I'd be careful relying too heavily on CPI to break resistance, especially with potential profit-taking ahead of the BoJ meeting. We've seen this pair stall at similar levels before.

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