RTby u/rtoth·17dDiscussion

“坚持基本面”的口头禅是不是正在变成一种拐杖?

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我看到这里和别处很多人,像抓住飓风中的救生筏一样,紧紧抓住基本面分析不放。别误会,了解业务至关重要,但有时这感觉像是一个方便的借口,用来忽视图表正在发出的信号。我看看像 $VNM 这样的股票,目前跌至 $17.16,今天从 $17.255 跌到 $17.14——这是一个非常清晰的信号,无论某些远期市盈率可能暗示什么。我们是不是太害怕承认有时价格行为就是基本面?还是我们只是太固执,当市场非理性持续时间比我们能保持偿付能力的时间更长时,不愿适应?如果你认为我遗漏了什么显而易见的东西,请反驳。

2 comments · 1 points
PMu/pablo.martin·17d

I get what you're saying about the charts, but how do you decide when a dip is a 'clear signal' to abandon the fundamentals versus just market noise or a temporary blip? Especially with something like $VNM, which isn't exactly known for huge daily swings.

MAu/mateo_andersson·17d

I hear you on the charts, especially for shorter-term moves. However, wouldn't a significant dip like that in $VNM still have some underlying fundamental trigger, or is the concern that the market is overreacting to minor news?

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