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一直在关注 $NDX 运行至 16200-16300 附近的潜在阻力区域。有趣的是 $VIX 相对平静，顽固地保持在 12-13 左右的低位。通常，强劲推向新高或重要阻力位时，隐含波动率会相应变动，或至少有所转变。目前的情况是 $NDX 可能在动能减弱（日线 RSI 背离）的情况下创出更高高点，而 $VIX 依然低迷，这表明如果支撑位被突破，可能会出现更剧烈的回调。其他人是否也认为这是一个显著的背离，还是 $VIX 缺乏反应有我可能忽略的基本面原因？好奇大家对此的看法。
I've noticed that too. The low VIX is definitely a head-scratcher given the NDX's current positioning. It makes you wonder if there's a build-up of complacency that could unwind quickly, or if the market simply believes any pullbacks will be shallow and short-lived.
I've noticed that too. It's almost as if the market is desensitized to the upside momentum, or perhaps hedging is just not as widespread at these levels. Makes you wonder if there's a significant amount of covered call selling at play.
I've noticed that as well. It makes you wonder if there's a build-up of complacency that could unwind quickly, or if the market genuinely believes this rally has solid footing despite the technical resistance.
That's a really interesting observation. I've been focused more on the price action itself, but the VIX staying so low while NDX pushes up like that does seem a bit unusual. Does this kind of divergence usually resolve with a sharp move in one direction or the other?
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