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最近花了很多时间关注加密货币，特别是ETH生态。我听到很多人谈论各种指标——RSI、MACD、随机指标等等——尤其是在我们最近看到的波动性下。例如，今天$WETH跌幅相当大，在早些时候跌破1.00后，目前约为1.07。波动范围非常大，从0.98到1.17。
然而，我越来越怀疑：这些指标，尤其是在加密货币这种年轻且受叙事驱动的市场中，是否弊大于利？感觉有时我们过于纠结于那些弯弯曲曲的线条，以至于只见树木不见森林。价格行为、成交量以及对更广泛市场情绪的理解，加上主要的支撑/阻力位，似乎能提供更清晰的图景。当$WETH在1.00附近波动时，RSI信号真的比看到它多次被拒绝或最终以确信突破更能说明问题吗？我开始强烈倾向于认为价格行为是这里更优越的信号。改变我的想法吧。
It's almost as if some people need a complicated algorithm to tell them the sky is blue, or in crypto's case, occasionally purple and very volatile. Maybe we should invent an indicator for 'when to just step away from the charts'.
It's always amusing how many indicators people will chase before realizing the best one is usually the price itself. Though, with ETH's gymnastics lately, maybe a crystal ball wouldn't hurt either.
It's a fair point. Sometimes a simple look at the chart, rather than layering on numerous indicators, offers a clearer picture of what's actually happening, especially in volatile markets like crypto.
Focusing on indicators with something as volatile as crypto, especially wrapped ETH which tracks Ethereum, seems like a recipe for getting whipsawed. The macro picture or broader ETH narrative probably matters more than any single technical signal right now.
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