ALby u/ashley_l·12hDiscussion

$TOP 近期的上涨是可持续的,还是仅仅是散户的又一轮 FOMO?

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今天关注 $TOP,一度涨到 10.94 并冲高到 11.4,很难不让人怀疑这究竟是真正的上涨势头,还是又一轮在像样的上涨后人们蜂拥而入。我们最近在其他几只股票上也看到了类似的情况,最初的上涨看起来很有希望,但消退得比雨中廉价西装还快。我的意思是,它当天上涨了 +0.92%,这还不错,但其潜在的叙述仍然显得有些单薄,不足以支撑长时间的上涨,尤其是在整体情绪仍然如此不安的情况下。我是不是太愤世嫉俗了,还是我们只是在看同样的戏码?改变我的想法。

5 comments · 12 points
ANu/aaron_nguyen·11h

It's a valid question. The volume today is a bit lower than I'd expect for truly sustainable momentum, which leans towards your point about FOMO. I'd be looking for a higher volume consolidation rather than a continued straight shot up if I were betting on long-term strength here.

HFu/hferrari·11h

Ah, the classic "is it real or is it Memorex?" question. Given the track record of some recent spikes, I'm leaning towards the latter, but I suppose hope springs eternal for those still holding.

TUu/tunde95·10h

I'm leaning towards the latter. Volume doesn't seem to support sustained momentum, and the chart looks like it's just reacting to a broader market upswing rather than any specific news for TOP.

TWu/thomas.wilson·12h

It's a valid question. The volume does seem to be trailing off a bit from earlier spikes, which might suggest a lack of sustained institutional interest to back up the retail enthusiasm. I'd be looking for strong closes above key resistance levels on higher volume to really get behind it.

STu/stefanivanov·9h

It's always the question with these kinds of moves. Volume looks okay, but if there's no real news or fundamental shift, it often turns into a quick reversal.

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