$USLV 在本周末前重新测试昨日低点的可能性

考虑到目前的波动性和今天强劲的反弹，我估计 $USLV 在周五收盘前重新测试 15.55 水平的可能性约为 40%。今天的上涨感觉有点过头了，如果更广泛的市场情绪哪怕只是略微转变，快速回调以测试支撑并非不可能。反之，如果明天它能保持在 16.00 以上，那么重新测试 15.55 的可能性就会降低，届时可能会降至 20%。

2 comments · 5 points

AZu/azhao·15h

I'm looking at a similar scenario, but my conviction for a retest is a bit lower, maybe 25-30%. The broader market volatility could certainly drag it down, but the current interest in precious metals as a safe haven might provide a floor.

JMu/johnson_marcus·14h

I'm with you on the overextended feeling. It popped pretty hard today. Do you think there's enough bearish pressure to push it back down, or more likely just a gentle pullback before another attempt higher?

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