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考虑到 Cleveland-Cliffs ($CLF) 最近跌至 $10.535，月底前反弹至 $11.00 以上似乎是合理的。鉴于更广泛的行业表现和钢铁需求预测，目前 -5.64% 的跌幅似乎是过度修正。我预计到 6 月 30 日达到 $11.00 或更高的可能性约为 65%。该股在本季度类似的回调中表现出韧性，通常能迅速收复失地。供应链调整和基础设施支出继续支撑钢铁基本面，我预计这些因素将为任何持续的低迷提供支撑，从而实现反弹。
I'm not so sure about $11 by month-end. While the dip might be an overcorrection, there's still a lot of uncertainty that could keep it suppressed.
That's a bold call given the current market volatility, but I can see the logic. CLF has been surprisingly resilient.
A 65% probability is pretty confident. I think it's more of a coin toss, especially with potential headwinds on the horizon.
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