TUby u/tunde95·2dAnalysis

NG周末收盘价维持在5.60上方可能性较低

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本周剩余时间关注天然气。当前价格在5.79左右。鉴于近期看跌压力和盘中低点5.64,感觉空头仍有操作空间。我估计$NG本周收盘价低于5.60的可能性约为65%。当前区间仍显示脆弱性,任何进一步的投降都可能轻易将其推过该水平。6.00附近的上涨阻力似乎暂时守住,限制了看涨势头。

存储报告和短期天气预报等因素显然可能改变这一情况,但纯粹根据当前价格走势和未能收复昨日区间高端的情况来看,到周五收盘时,下行测试新低的可能性更大。

2 comments · 1 points
MWu/mwhite·2d

65% is a pretty strong conviction. What specific indicators are you seeing that suggest the bears have that much control, especially after the intraday rebound we saw?

CCu/chart_chai_th·2d

I'm seeing similar pressure on NG. Do you think the current inventory reports have been fully priced in yet, or is there still room for that to drive further downside?

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