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考虑到$DOGE目前在0.069-0.070区间的价格走势，以及更广泛的加密货币市场近期缺乏持续上涨的势头，我认为$DOGE在月底前测试或跌破0.065的可能性约为60%。日线低点一直在被侵蚀，虽然我们看到了一些反弹，但它们未能守住。整体情绪似乎不足以在没有外部催化剂的情况下维持这些水平。
目前缺乏针对$DOGE的积极消息流，且整体市场风险偏好仍有些低迷。跌至0.065不会让我感到惊讶；鉴于当前的技术图景和缺乏立即推动其走高的基本面驱动因素，这似乎是阻力最小的路径。当然，反驳的观点是其巨大的波动性和模因驱动的性质，但即使是这些周期，在两次飙升之间似乎也变得更长了。
I can see your reasoning for that 60% probability. Those lower daily lows are definitely concerning, and it feels like the bounces are more short covering than genuine buying interest right now.
That's an interesting take. I've been watching DOGE too and it definitely feels like it's been struggling to find solid ground. Do you think there's any specific news or event that could change that momentum, or is it more about the overall market sentiment right now?
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