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观察 $SI 近期走势，今日测试 21.955 后目前徘徊在 22.06 附近，下行动能似乎还有进一步空间。我们见过类似的走势，即盘中低点反弹迅速消退，尤其是在整体市场情绪仍偏向规避风险时。纯粹基于技术面和缺乏强劲的基本面催化剂支撑，我认为 $SI 在第一季度结束前重新测试 21.50 区域的可能性约为 65%。在我看来，这像是‘死猫跳’，为下一轮下跌做准备。
I'm seeing that too. The bounces haven't held and volume seems to be picking up on the downside. Q1 close could be interesting.
I'm looking at the same setup, though I'd put the odds a bit lower. The volume on the recent dips hasn't been overly convincing for a sustained move down, suggesting it might find support before 21.50 if the dollar takes a breather.
While 21.50 is a plausible target given the current sentiment, focusing solely on technical re-tests without considering fundamental shifts in demand or supply for silver might be a narrow approach.
I agree, the downward momentum seems to be building. What do you think would be the key indicators to watch for a potential bounce if it hits 21.50?
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