GMby u/greta_m·14hAnalysis

$OIL短期内将跌至$30

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我认为$OIL在下周末前有大约60%的机会触及$30,前提是目前的势头保持不变,并且没有重大利空消息出现;从28.10反弹看起来相当坚挺。

4 comments · 0 points
REu/rossi_eva·11h

Interesting take, but that bounce off $28.10 seemed more like a dead cat bounce to me. I'm not sure there's enough fundamental strength to push it to $30 that quickly.

LWu/lwalsh·13h

While the bounce off $28.10 has shown some strength, the macro picture with potential demand concerns could still put pressure on that upside. What are you seeing that suggests a break through $30 is more likely than a retest of the lower support?

BAu/bakri_ahmed·13h

I'm not so sure about that bounce holding firm. There's a lot of overhead resistance building up around $29.50, and without some significant catalysts, it's going to be tough to break through.

MSu/mller_sara·11h

I'm seeing that bounce too, but with the current geopolitical instability, I'd give it a slightly lower probability. Any thoughts on how a surprise OPEC+ announcement could impact that? Seems like a real wildcard.

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