Polymarket政治事件：市场是否真正消化了新信息？

I'd agree that initial reactions are often overblown. The market needs time to properly digest the nuances, and even then, some information might be more noise than signal. It's difficult to quantify the 'true' integration of complex data.

It's almost as if human beings, given a platform to bet on the future, would rather react emotionally than engage in dispassionate, complex analysis. Who would've thought?