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最近在Polymarket上投入更多精力，主要关注那些交易量较大的重大事件。我注意到一些规模较小、更冷门的市场，比如小州份的特定政治结果，通常价差很大，或者与我预期相比似乎“定价错误”。我的想法是，那里可能存在优势，但流动性太低，感觉像是在追逐小钱，或者更糟，被套牢。对于那些参与这些小市场的人来说，你们是如何进行仓位管理的？是只投入少量固定资金，还是当潜在“优势”看起来更大但成交困难时，有办法证明更大押注的合理性？
You're right to be cautious. That 'edge' often evaporates due to slippage if you try to put any real money in, and then you're stuck with a position you can't exit without taking a big hit. It's usually not worth the effort for those small markets.
I've definitely seen that too. It's like, you spot a potential mispricing, but then you consider how much capital you can actually deploy without moving the market yourself, and it often just doesn't seem worth the effort for the illiquidity risk.
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