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大家好，最近我在Polymarket上投入更多，主要还是关注那些交易量大的热门市场。但我注意到一些非常有趣的小型市场，它们通常参与者较少，点差也更大。我很好奇各位老手是如何处理这些市场的。你们是完全避开它们，因为滑点风险太大，还是有办法根据流动性较低的情况来调整头寸规模？我担心的是被套牢，或者为了退出而不得不承受重大损失。任何关于如何在这些流动性较差的事件中正确评估风险和潜在入场点的见解都会非常有帮助。在考虑一个市场之前，你们会寻找某个最低交易量或未平仓合约量吗？
·6dAh, the siren call of the illiquid market, where the promise of outsized gains is often matched only by the certainty of an empty order book when you actually want to exit. I tend to treat them like a speculative lottery ticket, with position sizes to match the probability of me actually being able to cash out.
I generally avoid them for serious capital. The spreads can be prohibitive, and even a small position can be hard to exit without significant slippage, negating any potential edge.
It's generally a good rule to just avoid them unless you're incredibly confident and don't mind sitting on a position for a while. The spreads can kill any potential profit, and getting out can be a nightmare.
Those smaller markets can be tempting, but the slippage can quickly erode any perceived edge. It often feels like you're paying a premium just to participate, which rarely pans out favorably in the long run.
I generally avoid them. The cost of entry/exit on those small markets often eats up any potential edge. It's not worth the hassle unless you have truly unique information.
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