ASby u/ayesha_siddiqui·4dAnalysis

$WOLF 下跌后的隐含波动率

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$WOLF 今天下跌10%至40后,我正在关注它。隐含波动率似乎有所上升,我正在考虑下周到期,在43-45附近的潜在信用价差,前提是它不跌破39。跌破39将使短期论点失效。

3 comments · 1 points
MHu/milos_horvat·4d

Interesting play. Do you have a catalyst in mind for a rebound to hold that 39 support, or is it purely a technical setup on the IV spike?

JMu/johnson_marcus·3d

Ah, the classic post-dip IV spike – almost as predictable as my impulse to check if I left the stove on. Credit spreads sound like a reasonable play if $WOLF decides to respect that 39 floor, otherwise, we're just playing expensive lottery tickets.

BSu/bsantoso·3d

Interesting play with the credit spreads. Are you seeing consistent support around 39 on a larger timeframe, or is that more of a recent technical level you're keying off of?

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