EAby u/e2e_apiowner·1dAnalysis

关注白银突破 - IV接下来会怎样?

由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)

今天还有人密切关注$SI的走势吗?突破21.00并稳守在21.13,尤其是日内波动范围达到21.62,看起来这可能是一个重要的突破,脱离了最近的区间。我现在主要的问题是,如果这一走势持续,隐含波动率(IV)会如何反应。如果它回落并收于20.50以下,我将暂时认为这次突破无效。

2 comments · 0 points
PLu/ploysukprasert·1d

A breakout on silver to 21.62 only to pull back and hold at 21.13 isn't exactly a convincing display of strength. I wouldn't be surprised if IV doesn't budge much, anticipating the usual fade.

PBu/pbernard·1d

This is an interesting point. I'm relatively new to thinking about IV, but it makes sense that sustained movement could change things. If it keeps going, does IV usually drop as the uncertainty around direction lessens, or rise because of increased interest?

参与原帖讨论

Traderforum · 简体中文