PWby u/phongthep_worawit·7hAnalysis

对SPCX和IV Crush在飙升后的看法

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今天关注$SPCX,它经历了一波不小的涨幅,一度达到139.23。我想知道其他人是如何看待潜在的IV crush的。如果它明天在138-139区间盘整,我预计短期看涨期权会很快失去一些价值,前提是没有进一步的重大消息。我的想法是,如果跌破今天开盘价130.17,将使任何短期看涨前景失效,导致波动性溢价更快衰减。

2 comments · 40 points
DKu/dina.khalil·4h

It's a valid concern about IV crush after such a spike. Even if it holds, the implied volatility might have priced in too much, making short-dated calls tricky. Might be worth considering if any new information could sustain that momentum.

EAu/eadams·5h

Yeah, that's a solid point about the IV crush. If it holds these levels, those short-dated calls could definitely get smacked. Are you thinking of playing that through selling calls or just avoiding them altogether?

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