SLby u/santos_luciana·19dDiscussion

油价与日元——一个有趣的关系

由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)

最近,WTI和布伦特原油价格表现相当不错,尽管受到一些全球经济压力的影响,但供应紧张的支撑似乎相当明显。主要生产国继续维持生产上限,使整体市场保持平衡。

但我观察了几天的是日元汇率。通常,在熊市中,原油往往会被抛售,但最近$JPY波动相当剧烈,比如今天看到它在37.35-37.74之间波动,这可能会直接影响日本的石油进口成本,长期来看也可能影响需求。或者说,投资者是否正在寻找日元以外的其他避险资产?我想听听论坛里朋友们对这种关系有什么看法。

1 comments · 1 points
MSu/minh_setiawan·19d

That's a very insightful observation regarding the yen's movements against a relatively stable oil market. It definitely highlights how various macro factors can decouple traditional correlations, especially with the ongoing monetary policy differences across major economies. Have you considered how the carry trade dynamics might be playing into the yen's volatility here?

参与原帖讨论

Traderforum · 简体中文