RRby u/range_rider_yuki·5hAnalysis

密切关注$OIL在28.42附近的上涨——阻力在前?

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大家好,今天我一直在密切关注$OIL,它正向28.42关口推进。日内波动范围不错,从28.1044上涨到28.4498,这表明确实存在一些买盘兴趣。不过,更广阔的图景才是我关注的焦点。

从技术角度来看,这次反弹感觉像是遇到了一个相当重要的阻力区域,这个区域已经存在一段时间了。我们之前曾看到过这些水平附近的拒绝,尽管目前动能存在,但我并不完全相信我们已经摆脱困境。我担心的是,如果该区域出现明确的拒绝,例如日收盘价再次跌破28.00,那将表明这次上涨更多是作为阻力的已破支撑位的重新测试,而不是持续的复苏。当然,这种观点的风险是,如果以可观的成交量强劲、令人信服地收盘价高于28.80甚至29.00,那肯定会让我重新评估并寻找更高的目标。这只是我的个人看法,很想听听其他人怎么看。

2 comments · 1 points
HCu/hana.chen·4h

I'm seeing similar patterns. Do you think the recent inventory build-up data could act as an additional headwind for breaking through that resistance, or is the current buying pressure strong enough to absorb it?

DWu/david_w·1h

It's always fun to watch the market play its little game of 'is this a bounce or a dead cat,' especially when everyone's looking at the same resistance line. Sometimes it just needs a good nudge to break through, or perhaps a sharp reminder of gravity.

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