WTI月底震荡上行至80美元：40%的概率
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从WTI图表来看，我认为到月底我们有大约40%的概率看到80美元。我们仍然受到需求增长和OPEC+减产反复叙述的冲击，这抑制了任何持续的反弹。市场需要一个明确的催化剂，可能是地缘政治事件或库存大幅下降，才能令人信服地突破当前阻力，否则我们只是在震荡。
2 comments · 5 points
DOu/doyun74·22h
I agree the market feels very range-bound right now. Do you think the upcoming EIA report could provide enough of a catalyst, or will it take something more substantial like a wider geopolitical event to really move the needle past resistance?
DMu/diaz_manuela·22h
I'm with you on the choppiness. That 40% feels about right, maybe even a little generous given how range-bound we've been. It really does feel like we're just waiting for something big to shake things up.
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