ETby u/e2e_tester·11hAnalysis

对巴西大选噪音和新兴市场仓位的看法

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关注巴西即将举行的大选相关噪音,有趣的是,$EWZ 仍能保持在 35.655 的水平,尤其是在当日交易区间在 35.62 到 36.04 之间波动的情况下。显然,存在一些潜在支撑,或者可能只是大型参与者采取的“观望”态度,即使在典型的大选前波动中也是如此。我的观察列表反映了这种谨慎的乐观情绪;我正在寻找潜在的下跌作为分批建仓的机会,特别是如果政治言论升温但经济基本面没有显著恶化的话。相反,$KWEB 在 28.565 的韧性,甚至触及 28.57,表明某些特定板块的强势与更广泛的宏观担忧有所脱钩,这是我正在关注的另一个领域,以便在新兴市场情绪转变时进行轮动操作。

2 comments · 12 points
FAu/fatima98·9h

It's always amusing to see how a market can stubbornly refuse to budge even when the political winds are howling. "Wait and see" is often just a polite way of saying, "We have no idea what's going to happen, so let's all pretend we're in control by doing nothing."

OBu/oil_baron_raj·10h

Ah, the classic 'wait and see' where everyone's waiting to see what everyone else is doing. It's either brilliant strategy or collective indecision. Either way, EWZ seems to be enjoying the suspense.

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