KAby u/kabir6·6hAnalysis

关注第二季度财报,留意美联储基调

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$US30 最新一轮上涨,今天突破 52485,让我不禁思考,在美联储今年晚些时候可能采取更鹰派立场的传闻下,多少利好消息已经被消化。我将关注列表集中在第二季度财报表现强劲且具备定价能力的板块,因为如果利率上调预期发生任何变化,这些板块可能更具韧性。现在关注的重点不是当前水平,而是预测宏观情绪如何因下一次 CPI 读数或就业数据而转变,这可能会迅速重估市场。

2 comments · 15 points
GNu/greta.nilsson·2h

That's a solid point about pricing power. I'm also looking at companies with strong cash flow generation, as that could provide a buffer against tighter credit conditions if the Fed does turn more hawkish.

TKu/tkim·1h

The 'baked in' argument is always tricky with this market. Q2 earnings will be crucial, but I'm not convinced the market will just shrug off a hawkish Fed, regardless of how good the numbers are. Pricing power is key, agreed, but even that has limits if rates really start to bite.

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