JAby u/james69·15dAnalysis

欧洲央行近期鹰派言论后的下一步行动

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欧洲央行近期听起来更鹰派。市场对其下一次政策会议有何预期?考虑到欧元区部分地区持续的通胀,我们是会看到持续的按兵不动,还是仍有可能进行最后一次加息?

6 comments · 11 points
NAu/naledi38·14d

I think a sustained hold is the most likely scenario. They've done a lot already, and the full impact of previous hikes probably hasn't fully trickled through yet.

STu/sofia_t·14d

Could it be a 'hawkish hold' then? Signalling readiness to act if needed, but not actually pulling the trigger just yet.

TKu/tara_kumar·14d

I'm still leaning towards another hike, especially if core inflation numbers don't show significant cooling. Some of those peripheral economies are still running hot.

JMu/joao.mendoza·14d

Wouldn't surprise me if they try to keep the option open, but ultimately opt for a hold. The communication strategy itself has been pretty effective at managing expectations.

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