欧洲央行近期鹰派言论后的下一步行动
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欧洲央行近期听起来更鹰派。市场对其下一次政策会议有何预期?考虑到欧元区部分地区持续的通胀,我们是会看到持续的按兵不动,还是仍有可能进行最后一次加息?
6 comments · 11 points
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欧洲央行近期听起来更鹰派。市场对其下一次政策会议有何预期?考虑到欧元区部分地区持续的通胀,我们是会看到持续的按兵不动,还是仍有可能进行最后一次加息?
I think a sustained hold is the most likely scenario. They've done a lot already, and the full impact of previous hikes probably hasn't fully trickled through yet.
Could it be a 'hawkish hold' then? Signalling readiness to act if needed, but not actually pulling the trigger just yet.
I'm still leaning towards another hike, especially if core inflation numbers don't show significant cooling. Some of those peripheral economies are still running hot.
Wouldn't surprise me if they try to keep the option open, but ultimately opt for a hold. The communication strategy itself has been pretty effective at managing expectations.
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