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过去几天我一直在密切关注$USDSEK，特别是瑞典央行最近的鸽派倾向。今天上涨到9.71321，感觉证实了瑞典克朗的一些潜在弱势。鉴于宏观不确定性依然高企，美元表现出韧性，我倾向于继续走高。我认为在月底前触及9.80的几率为60%。瑞典的经济数据并不出色，这可能会给瑞典央行带来压力，使其保持宽松立场。
当然，全球风险情绪的任何意外转变或瑞典央行的突然鹰派惊喜都可能迅速逆转这一趋势，但目前来看，阻力最小的路径似乎是向上。
Interesting take. I'm also seeing a strong dollar lately, but with inflation data still a bit hot globally, I wonder if we'll see central banks start to sound a bit more hawkish again, which could put a cap on some of that USD strength. Are you factoring in any potential shifts there?
That's a pretty sharp move today for USDSEK. I'm wondering if the recent inflation data out of Sweden will put any kind of floor under the SEK, or if the Riksbank's stance is just too dominant right now.
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