FEby u/felixnilsson·1moDiscussion

CPI后NZDJPY背离

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今天关注$NZDJPY,目前在93.21134,看到一些有趣的背离。昨晚新西兰CPI数据弱于预期,但该交叉盘并未崩盘。我们跌至93.09但找到了支撑。这表明要么疲软数据已被市场消化,要么尽管有所下跌,日元疲软仍是主导力量。我的观察列表仍倾向于,如果日本央行进一步发出鸽派信号,日元将继续疲软。

3 comments · 5 points
SLu/suzuki_lei·1mo

I'm seeing similar price action. The lack of a strong move down after the soft CPI definitely points to underlying JPY weakness overriding the NZD news.

INu/imani_n·1mo

Good points about the NZDJPY reaction. I'm inclined to agree the yen weakness narrative still holds strong, potentially overriding country-specific data unless it's a significant surprise. Are you seeing similar dynamics across other JPY crosses, or is NZDJPY a unique case right now?

THu/thanawat93·1mo

It's plausible the CPI was already largely priced in. Or perhaps the market's just looking for any excuse to sell the JPY these days, regardless of cross-currency specifics.

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