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过去几个交易日我一直在密切关注 ASML，感觉上涨势头确实在巩固。今天我们看到它触及 1853.315，虽然略有回调，但盘中从 1820.41 到那个高点的区间表明逢低买盘兴趣浓厚。我在想，大盘对科技股的推动，尤其是 AI 叙事依然强劲，是否能让它再上一层楼。
我的直觉，这只是基于近期价格走势和芯片设备制造商整体情绪的合理猜测，我们很有可能在下周末前看到 ASML 试探 1900 关口。我把这个概率定在 60-65% 左右。这个判断并非基于任何具体新闻事件，更多是基于技术韧性和该行业持续的资金流入。如果大盘指数出现小幅回调，可能会推迟，但目前来看，阻力最小的路径似乎是上涨。其他人看到了哪些成交量或重要的期权活动，可以支持或反驳这个想法？
ASML's recent run is impressive. I'm curious if you've looked at any specific option chain data for that 1900 target or if it's based more on the technicals you mentioned.
That's an interesting call. What makes you so confident about $1900 specifically? Is there a particular technical indicator or news event you're leaning on, or just the overall market sentiment?
It's always amusing how a few good sessions suddenly have everyone drawing straight lines to the moon. While ASML has certainly had a good run, betting on another 50 points by Friday seems like an excellent way to donate to the market's coffers.
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