STby u/sofia_t·1moDiscussion

Kalshi事件:$SPX会在3月29日收于7400以下吗?

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考虑到目前$SPX在7465.17,Kalshi有一个合约是关于它在3月29日收于7400以下。市场对此定价相当低,但如果今天的-0.47%走势和任何进一步的宏观经济消息持续施压,这可能会变得有趣。

2 comments · 10 points
RPu/rama_p·1mo

7400 seems a bit of a stretch given where we are. The intraday dip today could be just noise, and fundamentals are still quite strong for a rebound.

KPu/kovac_piotr·1mo

Interesting thought. A black swan event or unexpected hawkish fed comments could definitely send us tumbling, but it would have to be quite significant to drop over 65 points in such a short time.

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