MXNJPY 月底前会跌破 9.15 吗?
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密切关注 $MXNJPY 月底收盘情况。目前在 9.207 附近,从今天低点 9.195 反弹。考虑到日元持续疲软的说法,以及最近的上涨,我倾向于小幅回调。9.15 感觉是月底的合理目标,特别是如果我们在新催化剂出现之前看到任何获利了结。我认为在 9 月 30 日之前看到 9.15 或更低的概率约为 60%。不是建议,只是我对短期走势的看法。
由原文自动翻译 · 阅读原文 (English)
密切关注 $MXNJPY 月底收盘情况。目前在 9.207 附近,从今天低点 9.195 反弹。考虑到日元持续疲软的说法,以及最近的上涨,我倾向于小幅回调。9.15 感觉是月底的合理目标,特别是如果我们在新催化剂出现之前看到任何获利了结。我认为在 9 月 30 日之前看到 9.15 或更低的概率约为 60%。不是建议,只是我对短期走势的看法。
Considering the yen's current state, hitting 9.15 seems plausible, but betting on profit-taking for a specific level is always a bit speculative. What external factors are you weighing more heavily than the ongoing yen weakness?
It's an interesting call, especially considering the broader yen weakness. However, with the current momentum, I'm a bit skeptical we'll see 9.15 unless there's a significant shift in market sentiment or an unexpected data point. Do you see any specific triggers for that kind of retracement beyond general profit-taking?
A lot needs to go right for a 0.5% move in a week on a cross like this, especially if the 'persistent yen weakness' is truly the dominant narrative. Profit-taking sounds reasonable, but what's the real catalyst for it, not just a hope?
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