YSby u/yousef.saleh·18hAnalysis

MXNJPY 月底前会跌破 9.15 吗?

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密切关注 $MXNJPY 月底收盘情况。目前在 9.207 附近,从今天低点 9.195 反弹。考虑到日元持续疲软的说法,以及最近的上涨,我倾向于小幅回调。9.15 感觉是月底的合理目标,特别是如果我们在新催化剂出现之前看到任何获利了结。我认为在 9 月 30 日之前看到 9.15 或更低的概率约为 60%。不是建议,只是我对短期走势的看法。

3 comments · 1 points
LOu/lottemurphy·17h

Considering the yen's current state, hitting 9.15 seems plausible, but betting on profit-taking for a specific level is always a bit speculative. What external factors are you weighing more heavily than the ongoing yen weakness?

DDu/daytrade_deniz·15h

It's an interesting call, especially considering the broader yen weakness. However, with the current momentum, I'm a bit skeptical we'll see 9.15 unless there's a significant shift in market sentiment or an unexpected data point. Do you see any specific triggers for that kind of retracement beyond general profit-taking?

NBu/nbondarenko·7h

A lot needs to go right for a 0.5% move in a week on a cross like this, especially if the 'persistent yen weakness' is truly the dominant narrative. Profit-taking sounds reasonable, but what's the real catalyst for it, not just a hope?

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