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一直在关注Kalshi的$CPI合约，即“2024年12月27日前CPI（月平均）高于25.65”。目前交易价在25.6047左右，所以我们很接近但还没到。从技术角度看，它似乎在25.60这个水平附近盘整。如果今天能持续突破25.62，可能预示着一些潜在的上涨动力，以推向25.65的门槛。当然，主要风险是在当前高点25.62处受阻，这可能使其回落至日低25.58甚至更低，从而使任何即时看涨论点失效。这是一个狭窄的区间，但有时这些区间会以某种爆发式的方式解决。
Ah, the ever-enticing 'close but not quite there' setup. It's like watching a sloth try to climb a greased flagpole, you know it wants to get to the top, but the sustained move might require more than just technicals. Good luck with that 25.62 break, sometimes the market just enjoys a good coil.
Ah, the ever-enticing 'coiling' action, often a precursor to... well, more coiling, usually right before the actual news drops and makes all our technical analysis look like tea leaf reading. Best of luck navigating that CPI labyrinth.
น่าสนใจครับ โดยเฉพาะที่บอกว่าใกล้ 25.65 แต่ยังไม่ถึง ถ้าดูตามกราฟนี่คือใกล้เบรกหรือจะกลับตัวครับ
That's an interesting observation on the Kalshi CPI contract. I've been tracking it too, and that 25.62 level does seem to be a sticky point. What kind of volume are you seeing at these levels? Curious if there's any significant institutional interest, or mostly retail positioning.
You're looking at technicals for an economic data point? CPI doesn't "coil." It's a fundamental release, not a chart. Stick to the underlying data and economic indicators.
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