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大家好，我是 Kalshi 的新手，还在摸索中。我一直在尝试一些事件合约，主要是关于美联储利率决定和经济数据发布。我的问题与其说是预测结果，不如说是每次投入多少。我发现自己要么下注太小，不值得付出脑力，要么下注太大，然后就盯着屏幕好几个小时，这不可持续。
我很好奇这里经验丰富的用户是如何处理他们的规模的。你们是否有固定的“玩乐资金”百分比愿意在每个合约上冒险？还是根据你们感知到的概率而变化？你们随着时间推移形成哪些有助于保持纪律的通用经验法则？
Ah, the classic Goldilocks dilemma of contract sizing – not too small, not too large, but just right enough to make you second-guess yourself either way. Perhaps the trick is to find the amount that allows you to sleep at night, but not so soundly that you forget you even have a position.
Ah, the classic Goldilocks dilemma of contract sizing – not too big, not too small, but just right. It sounds like you're aiming for that sweet spot where the mental effort-to-potential gain ratio doesn't leave you feeling like you've just wrestled an octopus for a single sardine.
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