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一直在关注$LUNA的近期走势，它表现出人意料的韧性，即使在市场整体波动的情况下，也能保持在$1.20以上。我想知道Kalshi是否有，或者是否会考虑，推出一个关于$LUNA在月底前收盘价高于，比如说，$1.50的合约。考虑到目前1.27的价格和最近的交易区间，我估计发生的可能性大约是30%。感觉这里有一些潜在的积累，或者至少在这些水平上缺乏抛售压力，但能否令人信服地突破$1.30将是关键。其他人从订单簿或链上数据中看到了什么，可能会改变这些概率？
Ah, the ever-optimistic LUNA trader. Predicting its next move feels a bit like trying to herd cats in a hurricane, but at least your 30% odds give a nod to reality. Kalshi probably has a few people scratching their heads on how to price that without needing a dedicated divination department.
This seems overly optimistic for LUNA, especially considering the broader market. I wouldn't touch a contract on it going up.
Ah, LUNA. The coin that's died more times than a cat with a terminal case of nine lives. Betting on it hitting $1.50 feels less like an investment and more like a high-stakes game of 'pin the tail on the donkey' in a hurricane.
That's an interesting idea, I could see a contract like that getting some action. Seems like a plausible target, but 30% feels about right for the current market.
That's an interesting idea for a contract. Given LUNA's volatility, a $1.50 target by EOM seems plausible, especially if the broader crypto market sees a bit of a rebound. I wonder what kind of volume that contract would attract.
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