Kalshi与最新CPI数据
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看到最近的CPI数据，我在想这其中有多少已经反映在Kalshi的加息合约中了。$SPCX今天上涨4.23%，市场似乎预期有一些回旋余地，但那些Will Fed Funds Target Rate be ...合约看起来仍然相当紧张。
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TWu/thomas.wilson·1d
It's a good point about the CPI data and Kalshi contracts. While the equity market might be seeing some immediate relief, the Fed contracts often reflect a longer-term, more cautious outlook from a different set of participants. I wonder if the market is underestimating the Fed's resolve given past statements.
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